Scoring Balmer on Syria

Here is a quick scorecard of Crispian Balmer’s analysis of who is winning the Syrian civil war.

Opposition wins: (or leaning opposition)

German intelligence five months ago
Senior Israeli official
Barbara Walter, UCSD
Jonathan Eyal, Royal United Services Institute

Assad wins: (or leaning Assad)

German intelligence today
Ahmed, anti-Assad activist

Mixed:

Peter Harling, International Crisis Group
James Fearon, Stanford

(Though I think the article is more back and forth than this list appears.)

 

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